By
stephenmk
January 23, 2026
3 Minute Read
Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, Tips & Preview
By
stephenmk
Tottenham travel to Turf Moor on Saturday needing a response after a poor league run. Burnley, meanwhile, are fighting for survival and arrive with renewed belief following a hard-earned point at Anfield.
Premier League Betting Picks
✅ Tottenham -0.25 Asian Handicap – 1.72
✅ Over 2.5 Goals – 2.02
Burnley Battling but Still in Deep Trouble
Burnley’s 1-1 draw at Liverpool ended a seven-game losing streak and lifted spirits slightly, but they remain winless in 13 league matches. Their recent numbers underline the scale of the struggle — averaging just 0.50 expected goals (xG) and conceding 2.51 xGA across their last four games.
At Turf Moor, Vincent Kompany’s men have taken two points from a possible twelve, conceding almost two and a half xGA per match. They’ve tightened up marginally in recent weeks, losing only two of their last six, but their attack continues to underperform badly.
Burnley have managed to score in five of their last six games against bottom-half opposition, yet their lack of cutting edge remains their biggest obstacle.
Tottenham Searching for Momentum
Tottenham’s midweek 2-0 Champions League win over Borussia Dortmund offered short-term relief, though it came against ten men for most of the match. Domestically, their form has collapsed — just two wins from their last thirteen Premier League fixtures.
Ange Postecoglou’s side sit 14th in the table and have conceded 12 goals in their last six away matches. Their attacking metrics remain solid (1.55 xG per match) but defensive lapses continue to cost them.
Away from home, Spurs average 1.09 xG and 1.47 xGA, reflecting a team that still controls territory but struggles to turn possession into consistent results. They need a win here to steady the season and silence growing frustration among supporters.
Head-to-Head: Spurs in Control
Tottenham have dominated this fixture historically, winning ten of the last twenty meetings and four of the last five in all competitions. They ran out 5-2 winners at Turf Moor in their last league visit and have taken maximum points in five of their last eight trips to Burnley, keeping four clean sheets.
The Clarets’ last home victory in this fixture came back in February 2022. Since then, Spurs’ superior control of possession and shot volume has repeatedly stifled Burnley’s limited attack.
Player to Watch: Wilson Odobert
Wilson Odobert continues to be Burnley’s main attacking spark. The 19-year-old winger has started the last three matches and recorded three, three, and one shot across those appearances — showing consistent intent and involvement.
He averages 1.71 shots per 90 minutes, rising sharply when he plays more than an hour. His pace and willingness to take on defenders make him the most likely source of Burnley’s attacking moments on Saturday.
Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Odds
Burnley Win – 3.60
Draw – 3.40
Tottenham Win – 2.04
Over 2.5 Goals – 2.02
Both Teams to Score – 1.82
Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips & Predictions
Tottenham’s form has been poor, but this looks a good opportunity to turn things around. Burnley’s xG numbers are among the league’s worst, while Spurs’ attacking patterns suggest chances will come freely. Expect goals, corners, and a few cards in a match both sides badly need to take something from.
Premier League Betting Picks
✅ Tottenham -0.25 Asian Handicap – 1.72
✅ Over 2.5 Goals – 2.02
