Liverpool vs Newcastle United Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 20:00 (UTC) | Anfield | Premier League

Liverpool host Newcastle United at Anfield on Saturday evening, with both sides needing a response after mixed recent results. The Reds remain dominant at home despite inconsistency, while Newcastle’s away form continues to be their biggest weakness.

✅ BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals – 1.78
✅ BTTS & Under 5 Goals – 2.05
✅ Liverpool to Win & Under 4.5 Goals – 2.25

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Liverpool vs Newcastle United Prediction

Liverpool’s home form under Arne Slott remains one of the strongest in the league. They’ve won the xG battle in 9 of 11 home matches, averaging 17.6 shots per game and maintaining an xG ratio of 59%. Despite defensive absences — Ibrahima Konaté and Conor Bradley remain sidelined — the Reds’ attack continues to create chances at will.

Newcastle, by contrast, struggle away from St James’ Park. Seven of their 10 away goals this season came in just two matches, and they’ve failed to score in six of their 11 away fixtures. Their average of 10.4 shots per game on the road underlines their difficulty sustaining attacks.

Liverpool should control possession and territory, with Newcastle sitting deep and hoping to counter. Given both sides’ data profiles, a Liverpool win in a controlled, lower-scoring game looks the most likely outcome.

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Liverpool vs Newcastle United Prediction & Odds

Liverpool are priced at 1.77 to win, with Newcastle 4.10 and the draw 3.95.

The best value lies with Liverpool to Win & Under 4.5 Goals at 2.25 — a result that aligns with Liverpool’s dominant but measured home performances.

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Players to Watch

Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool) – The in-form forward has scored 8 Premier League goals from 14 starts and has found the net in five home matches this season. His consistent shot volume (45 total, 13 on target) makes him a strong pick in the anytime scorer market.

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) – Newcastle’s main creative spark away from home, Gordon’s pace on the break will be key if the visitors are to trouble Liverpool.

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Predicted Lineups

Liverpool: Alisson, Szoboszlai, Gravenberch, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Endo, Mac Allister, Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo, Ekitike.
Newcastle United: Pope, Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall, Guimarães, Tonali, Miley, Barnes, Wissa, Gordon.

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