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Our Germany vs Italy Prediction Sees Germans Prevail in Dortmund

European giants Germany and Italy lock horns this weekend in the second leg of their UEFA Nations League quarter-final. The Germans have a handy lead after a 2-1 victory in Milan, but the Italians will be no pushovers in Dortmund.

UEFA Nations League Betting Picks

Germany to Win -1 – 2.24

Germany Win & BTTS – 3.70

Bet on Germany vs Italy

Germany to Extend Unbeaten Run Over Italy

Germany have been one of the strongest countries in this Nations League campaign, unbeaten so far. In the group stage, Julian Nagelsmann’s men picked up four wins and two draws to win League A, Group 3.

The Germans are unbeaten in seven matches, winning five and drawing two. Their only defeat since 2023 was a 2-1 extra-time loss to Spain at UEFA Euro 2024 last summer. Nagelsmann has made a positive impression since replacing Joachim Low.

Italy have now suffered back-to-back losses. Before Thursday’s reverse, the Italians were beaten at home by France in their final Nations League group game, their first loss since the Euros.

Luciano Spalletti’s side missed out to France in the battle for first place in Group A2. The pair picked up 13 points, but the Frech had a slightly better goal difference. November’s 3-1 loss to France in the San Siro did the damage.

Recent Germany vs Italy Head-to-Head Results

Sandro Tonali gave Italy an early lead in Milan, but the Germans turned on the heat in the second period to secure a 2-1 win. Tim Kleindienst equalised, and Leon Goretzka hit the winner 14 minutes from time.

Germany extended their unbeaten run against the Italians to seven games. Italy’s last victory in this fixture came in Euro 2012, when Mario Balotelli netted twice in a 2-1 semi-final win.

Germany vs Italy Betting Tips & Predictions

Germany have one foot in the Nations League Finals after the comeback win in Milan, and Nagelsmann’s men should complete the job on Sunday. You can get 2.24 for the hosts to win -1.

Italy have scored in every game since losing 2-0 to Switzerland in last summer’s Euros. Take a punt on the Germany win and both teams to score in this one at 3.70.